Premium Pick Tracker
Transparent flat-stake simulation of every premium-qualified pick. Wins and losses included. See methodology →
Net (simulated)
−$709.30
−7.09u
ROI
−14.78%
Avg odds 1.85
Hit rate
47.9%
23W · 25L
Total staked
$4,800
83 settled
Pending
0
Awaiting kickoff/settlement
Premium tier only
+$14.00(+0.14u)
1W–0L · ROI +14.00% · Hit rate 100.0%
Cross-match parlay performance
Multi-leg combinations of premium picks across different matches. 2-leg outperforms; 4+ legs lose money.
| Bucket | Total | W–L | Hit rate | Net | ROI | Pending |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-leg cross-match | 3 | 0–0 | — | — | — | — |
| 3-leg cross-match | 1 | 0–0 | — | — | — | — |
Backfill: every valid combination of historical premium picks within a 7-day kickoff window. Public surface defaults to 2 + 3 leg only.
Same-Game-Parlay (SGP) performance
Premium 1X2 pick + same-match secondary markets (Over/Under, BTTS). Heavy favorites tend to produce 2-3 goals when they win — that's the structural edge.
| Bucket | Total | W–L | Hit rate | Net | ROI | Pending |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGP · 2 legs | 6 | 0–3 | 0.0% | −$30.00 | −100.00% | — |
| SGP · 3 legs | 2 | 0–1 | 0.0% | −$10.00 | −100.00% | — |
| SGP · 4 legs | 2 | 0–1 | 0.0% | −$10.00 | −100.00% | — |
Backfill applies consensus-implied odds (1 / consensusProb) to each leg. Sportsbook SGP pricing typically discounts ~10-20% below this naive product to account for within-match correlation. Numbers shown are the NAIVE upper bound.
Pick audit
83 picks| Kickoff | Match | League | Pick | Odds | Tier | Result | Net | Origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay | FIFA World Cup | Uruguay to win | 1.51 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium vs Egypt | FIFA World Cup | Belgium to win | 1.70 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain vs Cape Verde Islands | FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | 1.15 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti vs Scotland | FIFA World Cup | Scotland to win | 1.64 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany vs Curaçao | FIFA World Cup | Germany to win | 1.09 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar vs Switzerland | FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | 1.28 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-06-13 | USA vs Paraguay | FIFA World Cup | USA to win | 2.18 | strong | win | +$118.30 | live |
| 2026-06-06 | Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga | J1 League | Kashiwa Reysol to win | 2.11 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-06-06 | Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League | Yokohama F. Marinos to win | 2.52 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-06-06 | FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | FC Tokyo to win | 2.01 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-30 | Malmo FF vs Halmstad | Allsvenskan | Malmo FF to win | 1.60 | strong | win | +$59.70 | live |
| 2026-05-31 | Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc | Brasileirão Série A | Palmeiras to win | 1.31 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-29 | Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | Brann to win | 1.75 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-30 | Santos vs Vitoria | Brasileirão Série A | Santos to win | 1.92 | strong | win | +$91.60 | live |
| 2026-05-30 | Bahia vs Botafogo | Brasileirão Série A | Bahia to win | 2.02 | strong | win | +$102.40 | live |
| 2026-05-30 | Molde vs Sandefjord | Eliteserien | Molde to win | 1.73 | strong | win | +$72.70 | live |
| 2026-05-30 | Gais vs Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan | Gais to win | 1.96 | strong | win | +$95.70 | live |
| 2026-05-30 | Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | Gamba Osaka to win | 1.99 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-30 | Avispa Fukuoka vs JEF United Chiba | J1 League | Avispa Fukuoka to win | 2.19 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-29 | Nice vs Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 | Nice to win | 2.05 | strong | win | +$105.30 | live |
| 2026-05-29 | Fredrikstad vs Start | Eliteserien | Fredrikstad to win | 1.90 | strong | win | +$89.80 | live |
| 2026-05-30 | Flamengo vs Coritiba | Brasileirão Série A | Flamengo to win | 1.53 | strong | win | +$52.90 | live |
| 2026-05-29 | Rosenborg vs Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | Bodo/Glimt to win | 1.62 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-29 | Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | Valerenga to win | 1.66 | strong | win | +$66.40 | live |
| 2026-05-25 | Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | Sandefjord to win | 2.02 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-25 | IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | IF Elfsborg to win | 3.02 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-25 | Tromso vs Aalesund | Eliteserien | Tromso to win | 1.54 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-25 | Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom | Eliteserien | Ham-Kam to win | 3.11 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-24 | Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami to win | 1.48 | strong | win | +$47.50 | live |
| 2026-05-24 | Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc | Brasileirão Série A | Cruzeiro to win | 1.37 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-24 | AC Milan vs Cagliari | Serie A | AC Milan to win | 1.35 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-24 | Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | La Liga | Villarreal to win | 2.56 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-24 | Lecce vs Genoa | Serie A | Lecce to win | 1.85 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-24 | Napoli vs Udinese | Serie A | Napoli to win | 1.57 | strong | win | +$56.70 | live |
| 2026-05-24 | Brighton vs Manchester United | Premier League | Brighton to win | 1.98 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-24 | Manchester City vs Aston Villa | Premier League | Manchester City to win | 1.37 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-23 | Real Betis vs Levante | La Liga | Real Betis to win | 2.35 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-23 | Lazio vs Pisa | Serie A | Lazio to win | 1.64 | strong | win | +$63.70 | live |
| 2026-05-23 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Club | La Liga | Real Madrid to win | 1.56 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-23 | Mallorca vs Oviedo | La Liga | Mallorca to win | 1.55 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-23 | Girona vs Elche | La Liga | Girona to win | 1.88 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-21 | Utrecht vs Heerenveen | Eredivisie | Utrecht to win | 2.06 | strong | win | +$106.20 | live |
| 2026-05-21 | Ajax vs Groningen | Eredivisie | Ajax to win | 1.97 | strong | win | +$96.90 | live |
| 2026-05-21 | VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | 1.84 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-23 | Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba | J1 League | Kashiwa Reysol to win | 1.63 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-23 | Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe | J1 League | Avispa Fukuoka to win | 4.95 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-21 | KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | Club Brugge KV to win | 1.49 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-22 | Djurgardens IF vs IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | Djurgardens IF to win | 1.54 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-20 | Start vs Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | Bodo/Glimt to win | 1.30 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-20 | Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | Lillestrom to win | 1.50 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-19 | Genk vs Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League | Genk to win | 1.68 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-19 | Bournemouth vs Manchester City | Premier League | Manchester City to win | 1.75 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-19 | Chelsea vs Tottenham | Premier League | Chelsea to win | 2.13 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-18 | Arsenal vs Burnley | Premier League | Arsenal to win | 1.14 | premium | win | +$14.00 | live |
| 2026-05-16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | 1899 Hoffenheim to win | 1.79 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-16 | Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga | Bayern München to win | 1.22 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-16 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen to win | 1.35 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-16 | Brann vs KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | Brann to win | 1.60 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-14 | Real Madrid vs Oviedo | La Liga | Real Madrid to win | 1.33 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-14 | San Diego vs Austin | Major League Soccer | San Diego to win | 1.77 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-12 | Celta Vigo vs Levante | La Liga | Celta Vigo to win | 1.94 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | live |
| 2026-05-13 | Getafe vs Mallorca | La Liga | Getafe to win | 2.34 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-13 | Manchester City vs Crystal Palace | Premier League | Manchester City to win | 1.25 | premium | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-13 | Villarreal vs Sevilla | La Liga | Villarreal to win | 2.21 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-13 | Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | Machida Zelvia to win | 2.02 | strong | void | $0.00 | live |
| 2026-05-12 | Real Betis vs Elche | La Liga | Real Betis to win | 1.68 | strong | win | +$68.40 | live |
| 2026-05-11 | GIL Vicente vs Arouca | Primeira Liga | GIL Vicente to win | 1.78 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-11 | Tottenham vs Leeds | Premier League | Tottenham to win | 1.87 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-11 | Rayo Vallecano vs Girona | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano to win | 2.65 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-11 | Napoli vs Bologna | Serie A | Napoli to win | 1.63 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Barcelona vs Real Madrid | La Liga | Barcelona to win | 1.71 | strong | win | +$71.20 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Rennes vs Paris FC | Ligue 1 | Rennes to win | 1.64 | strong | win | +$64.20 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Toulouse vs Lyon | Ligue 1 | Lyon to win | 1.92 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 to win | 1.77 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Tromso vs Molde | Eliteserien | Tromso to win | 2.08 | strong | win | +$107.90 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Sandefjord vs Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | Sandefjord to win | 1.72 | strong | win | +$71.50 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | Feyenoord to win | 2.07 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | GO Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | PSV Eindhoven to win | 1.78 | strong | win | +$77.90 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Excelsior vs FC Volendam | Eredivisie | Excelsior to win | 1.85 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Burnley vs Aston Villa | Premier League | Aston Villa to win | 1.67 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Cremonese vs Pisa | Serie A | Cremonese to win | 1.90 | strong | win | +$89.80 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Fiorentina vs Genoa | Serie A | Fiorentina to win | 2.09 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
| 2026-05-10 | Mallorca vs Villarreal | La Liga | Mallorca to win | 2.56 | strong | loss | −$100.00 | backfill |
Methodology. Every pick uses a virtual $100 flat stake at the consensus odds available when the pick was surfaced. We never modify settled rows. Pushes and voids do not affect ROI. Parlays are excluded from this tracker.
Data origin. This tracker includes 17 reconstructed picks from 2026-05-09 to 2026-05-10 + 66 captured live since 2026-05-12. Reconstruction applies the same qualification rules and odds-resolution logic the live capture cron uses. Each row is labelled backfill or live in the table above. The same exclusion rule (no usable consensus odds → skip) was applied uniformly to both sets. Full methodology →
This is a simulation of model performance, not a guarantee of future results. Betting involves risk. Bet responsibly →