Premium Pick Tracker

Transparent flat-stake simulation of every premium-qualified pick. Wins and losses included. See methodology →

Net (simulated)

−$650.60

−6.51u

ROI

−5.04%

Avg odds 1.84

Hit rate

52.7%

68W · 61L

Total staked

$12,900

155 settled

Pending

0

Awaiting kickoff/settlement

Cross-match parlay performance

Multi-leg combinations of premium picks across different matches. 2-leg outperforms; 4+ legs lose money.

BucketTotalW–LHit rateNetROIPending
2-leg cross-match75432959.7%+$90.54+12.58%
3-leg cross-match152609139.7%+$39.96+2.65%
4-leg cross-match1904514523.7%−$315.37−16.60%
5-leg cross-match1571813911.5%−$708.06−45.10%
Backfill: every valid combination of historical premium picks within a 7-day kickoff window. Public surface defaults to 2 + 3 leg only.

Same-Game-Parlay (SGP) performance

Premium 1X2 pick + same-match secondary markets (Over/Under, BTTS). Heavy favorites tend to produce 2-3 goals when they win — that's the structural edge.

BucketTotalW–LHit rateNetROIPending
SGP · 2 legs57332161.1%+$145.50+26.94%
SGP · 3 legs1971138.9%+$109.67+60.93%
SGP · 4 legs1971138.9%+$169.92+94.40%
Backfill applies consensus-implied odds (1 / consensusProb) to each leg. Sportsbook SGP pricing typically discounts ~10-20% below this naive product to account for within-match correlation. Numbers shown are the NAIVE upper bound.

Pick audit

182 picks
KickoffMatchLeaguePickOddsTierResultNetOrigin
2026-06-15Saudi Arabia vs UruguayFIFA World CupUruguay to win1.51
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-06-15Belgium vs EgyptFIFA World CupBelgium to win1.70
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-06-15Spain vs Cape Verde IslandsFIFA World CupSpain to win1.15
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-06-14Germany vs CuraçaoFIFA World CupGermany to win1.09
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-06-13Qatar vs SwitzerlandFIFA World CupSwitzerland to win1.28
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-06-14Haiti vs ScotlandFIFA World CupScotland to win1.64
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-06-13USA vs ParaguayFIFA World CupUSA to win2.18
strong
win
+$118.30live
2026-06-06Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto SangaJ1 LeagueKashiwa Reysol to win2.11
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-06-06Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulseJ1 LeagueYokohama F. Marinos to win2.52
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-06-06FC Tokyo vs Cerezo OsakaJ1 LeagueFC Tokyo to win2.01
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-30Malmo FF vs HalmstadAllsvenskanMalmo FF to win1.60
strong
win
+$59.70live
2026-05-31Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-scBrasileirão Série APalmeiras to win1.31
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-05-30Gais vs Kalmar FFAllsvenskanGais to win1.96
strong
win
+$95.70live
2026-05-30Avispa Fukuoka vs JEF United ChibaJ1 LeagueAvispa Fukuoka to win2.19
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-30Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo VerdyJ1 LeagueGamba Osaka to win1.99
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-29Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserienBrann to win1.75
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-29Nice vs Saint EtienneLigue 1Nice to win2.05
strong
win
+$105.30live
2026-05-29Fredrikstad vs StartEliteserienFredrikstad to win1.90
strong
win
+$89.80live
2026-05-30Santos vs VitoriaBrasileirão Série ASantos to win1.92
strong
win
+$91.60live
2026-05-30Bahia vs BotafogoBrasileirão Série ABahia to win2.02
strong
win
+$102.40live
2026-05-30Molde vs SandefjordEliteserienMolde to win1.73
strong
win
+$72.70live
2026-05-29Rosenborg vs Bodo/GlimtEliteserienBodo/Glimt to win1.62
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-30Flamengo vs CoritibaBrasileirão Série AFlamengo to win1.53
strong
win
+$52.90live
2026-05-29Valerenga vs Kristiansund BKEliteserienValerenga to win1.66
strong
win
+$66.40live
2026-05-25IF Elfsborg vs BK HackenAllsvenskanIF Elfsborg to win3.02
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-25Sandefjord vs FredrikstadEliteserienSandefjord to win2.02
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-25Tromso vs AalesundEliteserienTromso to win1.54
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-24Inter Miami vs Philadelphia UnionMajor League SoccerInter Miami to win1.48
strong
win
+$47.50live
2026-05-25Ham-Kam vs LillestromEliteserienHam-Kam to win3.11
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-24Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-scBrasileirão Série ACruzeiro to win1.37
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-24AC Milan vs CagliariSerie AAC Milan to win1.35
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-24Villarreal vs Atletico MadridLa LigaVillarreal to win2.56
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-24Lecce vs GenoaSerie ALecce to win1.85
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-24Napoli vs UdineseSerie ANapoli to win1.57
strong
win
+$56.70live
2026-05-24Manchester City vs Aston VillaPremier LeagueManchester City to win1.37
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-24Brighton vs Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueBrighton to win1.98
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-23Real Betis vs LevanteLa LigaReal Betis to win2.35
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-23Mallorca vs OviedoLa LigaMallorca to win1.55
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-23Real Madrid vs Athletic ClubLa LigaReal Madrid to win1.56
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-23Girona vs ElcheLa LigaGirona to win1.88
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-23Lazio vs PisaSerie ALazio to win1.64
strong
win
+$63.70live
2026-05-21Utrecht vs HeerenveenEredivisieUtrecht to win2.06
strong
win
+$106.20live
2026-05-21Ajax vs GroningenEredivisieAjax to win1.97
strong
win
+$96.90live
2026-05-21VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07BundesligaVfL Wolfsburg to win1.84
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-23Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United ChibaJ1 LeagueKashiwa Reysol to win1.63
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-23Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel KobeJ1 LeagueAvispa Fukuoka to win4.95
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-21KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueClub Brugge KV to win1.49
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-22Djurgardens IF vs IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskanDjurgardens IF to win1.54
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-20Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BKEliteserienLillestrom to win1.50
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-20Start vs Bodo/GlimtEliteserienBodo/Glimt to win1.30
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-05-19Genk vs AntwerpJupiler Pro LeagueGenk to win1.68
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-19Bournemouth vs Manchester CityPremier LeagueManchester City to win1.75
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-19Chelsea vs TottenhamPremier LeagueChelsea to win2.13
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-18Arsenal vs BurnleyPremier LeagueArsenal to win1.14
premium
win
+$14.00live
2026-05-16Bayern München vs 1. FC KölnBundesligaBayern München to win1.22
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-05-16Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga1899 Hoffenheim to win1.79
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-16Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SVBundesligaBayer Leverkusen to win1.35
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-05-16Brann vs KFUM OsloEliteserienBrann to win1.60
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-14Real Madrid vs OviedoLa LigaReal Madrid to win1.33
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-05-14San Diego vs AustinMajor League SoccerSan Diego to win1.77
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-12Celta Vigo vs LevanteLa LigaCelta Vigo to win1.94
strong
loss
−$100.00live
2026-05-12Real Betis vs ElcheLa LigaReal Betis to win1.68
strong
win
+$68.40live
2026-05-13Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo VerdyJ1 LeagueMachida Zelvia to win2.02
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-13Villarreal vs SevillaLa LigaVillarreal to win2.21
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-13Manchester City vs Crystal PalacePremier LeagueManchester City to win1.25
premium
void
$0.00live
2026-05-13Getafe vs MallorcaLa LigaGetafe to win2.34
strong
void
$0.00live
2026-05-11GIL Vicente vs AroucaPrimeira LigaGIL Vicente to win1.78
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-11Tottenham vs LeedsPremier LeagueTottenham to win1.87
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-11Rayo Vallecano vs GironaLa LigaRayo Vallecano to win2.65
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-11Napoli vs BolognaSerie ANapoli to win1.63
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10Barcelona vs Real MadridLa LigaBarcelona to win1.71
strong
win
+$71.20backfill
2026-05-10Rennes vs Paris FCLigue 1Rennes to win1.64
strong
win
+$64.20backfill
2026-05-10Toulouse vs LyonLigue 1Lyon to win1.92
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10FSV Mainz 05 vs Union BerlinBundesligaFSV Mainz 05 to win1.77
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10Tromso vs MoldeEliteserienTromso to win2.08
strong
win
+$107.90backfill
2026-05-10Sandefjord vs Kristiansund BKEliteserienSandefjord to win1.72
strong
win
+$71.50backfill
2026-05-10Feyenoord vs AZ AlkmaarEredivisieFeyenoord to win2.07
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10GO Ahead Eagles vs PSV EindhovenEredivisiePSV Eindhoven to win1.78
strong
win
+$77.90backfill
2026-05-10Excelsior vs FC VolendamEredivisieExcelsior to win1.85
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10Burnley vs Aston VillaPremier LeagueAston Villa to win1.67
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10Cremonese vs PisaSerie ACremonese to win1.90
strong
win
+$89.80backfill
2026-05-10Fiorentina vs GenoaSerie AFiorentina to win2.09
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10Mallorca vs VillarrealLa LigaMallorca to win2.56
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano OkayamaJ1 LeagueVissel Kobe to win1.79
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-10Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa FukuokaJ1 LeagueShimizu S-pulse to win2.33
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-09Fluminense vs VitoriaBrasileirão Série AFluminense to win1.57
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-09Lecce vs JuventusSerie AJuventus to win1.57
strong
win
+$57.00backfill
2026-05-09Manchester City vs BrentfordPremier LeagueManchester City to win1.42
premium
win
+$42.00backfill
2026-05-09Sevilla vs EspanyolLa LigaSevilla to win2.17
strong
win
+$117.40backfill
2026-05-09Brighton vs WolvesPremier LeagueBrighton to win1.32
premium
win
+$31.80backfill
2026-05-091899 Hoffenheim vs Werder BremenBundesliga1899 Hoffenheim to win1.55
strong
win
+$55.30backfill
2026-05-09RB Leipzig vs FC St. PauliBundesligaRB Leipzig to win1.38
premium
win
+$38.30backfill
2026-05-09VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer LeverkusenBundesligaVfB Stuttgart to win2.28
strong
win
+$127.80backfill
2026-05-09Liverpool vs ChelseaPremier LeagueLiverpool to win1.94
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-09Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen NagasakiJ1 LeagueCerezo Osaka to win2.00
strong
win
+$100.40backfill
2026-05-08Lens vs NantesLigue 1Lens to win1.46
strong
win
+$45.60backfill
2026-05-08Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaBorussia Dortmund to win1.59
strong
win
+$58.70backfill
2026-05-07Aston Villa vs Nottingham ForestUEFA Europa LeagueAston Villa to win1.84
strong
win
+$84.20backfill
2026-05-07SC Freiburg vs SC BragaUEFA Europa LeagueSC Freiburg to win1.87
strong
win
+$86.90backfill
2026-05-06Bayern München vs Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions LeagueBayern München to win1.70
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-06Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo VerdyJ1 LeagueKawasaki Frontale to win2.19
strong
win
+$119.30backfill
2026-05-06Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 LeagueMachida Zelvia to win1.95
strong
win
+$94.60backfill
2026-05-06FC Tokyo vs JEF United ChibaJ1 LeagueFC Tokyo to win1.57
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-05Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FCK League 1Jeonbuk Motors to win1.40
premium
win
+$40.30backfill
2026-05-04Sporting CP vs GuimaraesPrimeira LigaSporting CP to win1.34
premium
win
+$33.90backfill
2026-05-04Everton vs Manchester CityPremier LeagueManchester City to win1.55
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-04AS Roma vs FiorentinaSerie AAS Roma to win1.63
strong
win
+$62.60backfill
2026-05-04Chelsea vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueChelsea to win1.79
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-03Espanyol vs Real MadridLa LigaReal Madrid to win1.81
strong
win
+$81.20backfill
2026-05-03Inter vs ParmaSerie AInter to win1.28
strong
win
+$28.50backfill
2026-05-03Aston Villa vs TottenhamPremier LeagueAston Villa to win2.25
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-03SC Freiburg vs VfL WolfsburgBundesligaSC Freiburg to win2.60
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-03Juventus vs Hellas VeronaSerie AJuventus to win1.28
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-03Sparta Rotterdam vs GO Ahead EaglesEredivisieSparta Rotterdam to win2.14
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-03Lille vs Le HavreLigue 1Lille to win1.48
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-03Sassuolo vs AC MilanSerie AAC Milan to win1.79
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-03Bournemouth vs Crystal PalacePremier LeagueBournemouth to win1.72
strong
win
+$71.50backfill
2026-05-03Fortuna Sittard vs FeyenoordEredivisieFeyenoord to win1.62
strong
win
+$62.10backfill
2026-05-02Atalanta vs GenoaSerie AAtalanta to win1.72
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-02Metz vs MonacoLigue 1Monaco to win1.49
strong
win
+$48.80backfill
2026-05-02Groningen vs ExcelsiorEredivisieGroningen to win1.78
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-02Arsenal vs FulhamPremier LeagueArsenal to win1.54
premium
win
+$53.60backfill
2026-05-02Bayer Leverkusen vs RB LeipzigBundesligaBayer Leverkusen to win2.27
strong
win
+$126.80backfill
2026-05-02Paris Saint Germain vs LorientLigue 1Paris Saint Germain to win1.38
premium
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-02Utrecht vs NAC BredaEredivisieUtrecht to win1.88
strong
win
+$87.60backfill
2026-05-02Brentford vs West HamPremier LeagueBrentford to win1.97
strong
win
+$97.20backfill
2026-05-02Bayern München vs 1. FC HeidenheimBundesligaBayern München to win1.31
premium
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-02Werder Bremen vs FC AugsburgBundesligaWerder Bremen to win2.04
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-02Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SVBundesligaEintracht Frankfurt to win1.82
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-02Nantes vs MarseilleLigue 1Marseille to win1.76
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-05-01Leeds vs BurnleyPremier LeagueLeeds to win1.43
premium
win
+$42.50backfill
2026-04-27GIL Vicente vs Casa PiaPrimeira LigaGIL Vicente to win1.79
strong
win
+$78.60backfill
2026-04-27Manchester United vs BrentfordPremier LeagueManchester United to win2.06
strong
win
+$105.80backfill
2026-04-27Espanyol vs LevanteLa LigaEspanyol to win2.23
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-27Cagliari vs AtalantaSerie AAtalanta to win1.84
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-26AVS vs Sporting CPPrimeira LigaSporting CP to win1.17
premium
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-26Villarreal vs Celta VigoLa LigaVillarreal to win2.08
strong
win
+$107.90backfill
2026-04-26Marseille vs NiceLigue 1Marseille to win1.57
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-26Estrela vs FC PortoPrimeira LigaFC Porto to win1.40
premium
win
+$39.90backfill
2026-04-26Osasuna vs SevillaLa LigaOsasuna to win2.14
strong
win
+$114.10backfill
2026-04-26Torino vs InterSerie AInter to win1.45
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-26Borussia Dortmund vs SC FreiburgBundesligaBorussia Dortmund to win1.45
premium
win
+$45.10backfill
2026-04-26Le Havre vs MetzLigue 1Le Havre to win1.70
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-26Rennes vs NantesLigue 1Rennes to win1.49
strong
win
+$48.80backfill
2026-04-26Lorient vs StrasbourgLigue 1Lorient to win2.30
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-26Fiorentina vs SassuoloSerie AFiorentina to win2.04
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-25Angers vs Paris Saint GermainLigue 1Paris Saint Germain to win1.32
premium
win
+$32.30backfill
2026-04-25Benfica vs MoreirensePrimeira LigaBenfica to win1.20
premium
win
+$20.00backfill
2026-04-25Heerenveen vs Fortuna SittardEredivisieHeerenveen to win1.59
strong
win
+$59.50backfill
2026-04-25Valencia vs GironaLa LigaValencia to win2.21
strong
win
+$121.20backfill
2026-04-25Arsenal vs NewcastlePremier LeagueArsenal to win1.52
strong
win
+$52.20backfill
2026-04-25Feyenoord vs GroningenEredivisieFeyenoord to win1.73
strong
win
+$72.70backfill
2026-04-25Getafe vs BarcelonaLa LigaBarcelona to win1.73
strong
win
+$73.00backfill
2026-04-25Wolves vs TottenhamPremier LeagueTottenham to win1.79
strong
win
+$79.50backfill
2026-04-25Liverpool vs Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLiverpool to win1.60
strong
win
+$60.00backfill
2026-04-25Lyon vs AuxerreLigue 1Lyon to win1.73
strong
win
+$73.00backfill
2026-04-24Napoli vs CremoneseSerie ANapoli to win1.45
strong
win
+$44.50backfill
2026-04-24RB Leipzig vs Union BerlinBundesligaRB Leipzig to win1.53
strong
win
+$52.90backfill
2026-04-22Elche vs Atletico MadridLa LigaElche to win2.51
strong
win
+$150.60backfill
2026-04-21Real Madrid vs AlavesLa LigaReal Madrid to win1.28
premium
win
+$28.20backfill
2026-04-21Athletic Club vs OsasunaLa LigaAthletic Club to win1.95
strong
win
+$94.90backfill
2026-04-19FC Porto vs TondelaPrimeira LigaFC Porto to win1.24
premium
win
+$23.90backfill
2026-04-19SC Freiburg vs 1. FC HeidenheimBundesligaSC Freiburg to win1.77
strong
win
+$76.70backfill
2026-04-19Nottingham Forest vs BurnleyPremier LeagueNottingham Forest to win1.55
strong
win
+$54.80backfill
2026-04-19Aston Villa vs SunderlandPremier LeagueAston Villa to win1.82
strong
win
+$82.50backfill
2026-04-18Lille vs NiceLigue 1Lille to win1.59
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-18Lorient vs MarseilleLigue 1Marseille to win1.84
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-18Leeds vs WolvesPremier LeagueLeeds to win1.67
strong
win
+$66.70backfill
2026-04-18Newcastle vs BournemouthPremier LeagueNewcastle to win2.24
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-18Bayern München vs VfB StuttgartBundesligaBayern München to win1.48
premium
win
+$47.90backfill
2026-04-18Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SVBundesligaWerder Bremen to win2.10
strong
win
+$110.10backfill
2026-04-17Rio Ave vs AVSPrimeira LigaRio Ave to win1.81
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-17Lens vs ToulouseLigue 1Lens to win1.60
strong
win
+$60.00backfill
2026-04-16Aston Villa vs BolognaUEFA Europa LeagueAston Villa to win1.74
strong
win
+$74.20backfill
2026-04-16Real Betis vs SC BragaUEFA Europa LeagueReal Betis to win1.95
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-16Celta Vigo vs SC FreiburgUEFA Europa LeagueCelta Vigo to win2.03
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-15Bayern München vs Real MadridUEFA Champions LeagueBayern München to win1.57
strong
win
+$56.70backfill
2026-04-15Arsenal vs Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueArsenal to win1.62
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-14Atletico Madrid vs BarcelonaUEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona to win1.88
strong
win
+$88.30backfill
2026-04-13Manchester United vs LeedsPremier LeagueManchester United to win1.66
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-12NEC Nijmegen vs FeyenoordEredivisieNEC Nijmegen to win2.33
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill
2026-04-12Osasuna vs Real BetisLa LigaOsasuna to win2.34
strong
loss
−$100.00backfill

Methodology. Every pick uses a virtual $100 flat stake at the consensus odds available when the pick was surfaced. We never modify settled rows. Pushes and voids do not affect ROI. Parlays are excluded from this tracker.

Data origin. This tracker includes 116 reconstructed picks from 2026-04-11 to 2026-05-10 + 66 captured live since 2026-05-12. Reconstruction applies the same qualification rules and odds-resolution logic the live capture cron uses. Each row is labelled backfill or live in the table above. The same exclusion rule (no usable consensus odds → skip) was applied uniformly to both sets. Full methodology →

This is a simulation of model performance, not a guarantee of future results. Betting involves risk. Bet responsibly →