Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction, Odds & AI Match Analysis

AI Match Analysis

SnapBet AI assigns a 56% win probability to Villarreal, based on recent form, home dominance, and matchup context.

Villarreal is favored to win this match due to their home advantage and Alaves' poor away form. While there are risks associated with Villarreal's inconsistency, the and AI model suggest a home win is the most probable outcome. A moderate on a Villarreal victory is recommended, with consideration for alternative bets on low-scoring outcomes.

Key Factors Driving the Prediction

• Villarreal's home advantage and recent victory at home against Getafe.
• Alaves' defensive resilience, evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five matches.
• Villarreal's recent struggles against lower-ranked teams, such as the loss to Racing Santander.
• Alaves' poor away form, highlighted by a heavy defeat to Osasuna.
• The historical head-to-head record, which shows a balanced outcome with both teams having wins and draws.

Team Snapshots

Villarreal

Villarreal has shown mixed form with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Their home form is slightly better, which could be crucial.

• Strengths: Strong attacking capability at home., Ability to bounce back from defeats, as shown in their win against Getafe.
• Weaknesses: Inconsistent form, particularly against teams perceived as weaker., Defensive vulnerabilities, as seen in the loss to FC Copenhagen.
• Injuries/Availability: No significant injuries reported, allowing them to field a strong lineup.

Alaves

Alaves has a mixed record with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. Their away form remains a concern.

• Strengths: Solid defensive performances, especially at home., Capability to secure narrow victories against strong opponents, like Sevilla.
• Weaknesses: Struggles in away matches, particularly in scoring goals., Inconsistency in maintaining form across different venues.
• Injuries/Availability: No significant injuries reported, which should help maintain their defensive setup.

Market Context

Market odds imply a 65% probability for Villarreal, which is higher than our model's 56% projection. This indicates the market is more optimistic than our conservative AI assessment.

Risk & Uncertainty

Model Risk: High — multiple factors introduce variability, and the model suggests caution in interpreting this projection.