Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds & Match Analysis
League:
Premier League
Venue:
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Kickoff:
February 22, 2026 • 16:30 UTC
Match Analysis
As we look ahead to this highly anticipated clash, our analysis suggests that Arsenal holds a 46% probability of claiming victory. This assessment is rooted in their recent form, the dynamics of playing away at Tottenham, and historical context between the two teams.
Arsenal enters this match as the favorites due to their impressive recent performances and a favorable head-to-head record against their rivals. Although Tottenham will have the backing of their home crowd, their inconsistency and defensive lapses make it hard to ignore Arsenal as the more dependable option. Betting on an Arsenal win seems prudent, and there are also appealing opportunities in betting on both teams to score and total goals.
Key Factors Driving the Prediction
- Arsenal's strong recent form coupled with their historical success against Tottenham.
- Tottenham's advantage of home support and the potential for a spirited performance.
- Both teams are largely injury-free, allowing them to field their strongest line-ups.
- Arsenal's attacking strength, having consistently found the back of the net in recent fixtures.
- Tottenham's vulnerability at the back, which has led to conceding multiple goals recently.
Team Snapshots
Tottenham
Tottenham's recent form has been a rollercoaster, securing just one win from their last five matches. Their latest draw against Manchester City indicates potential, but ongoing defensive issues cast a shadow over their performance.
- Strengths: The home advantage in a crucial derby match and a recent draw against a formidable Manchester City side.
- Weaknesses: A lack of consistency with only one win in five and evident defensive frailties, having conceded multiple times in recent games.
- Injuries/Availability: No significant injuries reported, allowing Tottenham to field their best available squad.
Arsenal
In contrast, Arsenal is riding a wave of strong form, having secured three victories in their last five outings. Their defense has been particularly impressive, contributing to their recent success and solidifying their position in the league.
- Strengths: A robust recent performance with three wins out of five and a solid defensive record, including clean sheets against teams like Sunderland and Chelsea.
- Weaknesses: Occasional lapses in concentration have been evident, particularly in draws against teams like Wolves and Brentford.
- Injuries/Availability: No significant injuries reported, allowing Arsenal to deploy a full-strength squad.
Market Context
The current market odds suggest a 60% probability of an Arsenal victory, which is notably higher than our more conservative estimate of 46%. This discrepancy indicates that the market may be leaning toward a more optimistic outlook for Arsenal's chances in this match.
Risk & Uncertainty
The variability in outcomes means there is a high level of risk in this analysis. Multiple factors can influence the match, and while our assessment is grounded in data, it’s important to approach this projection with caution.
