Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Odds & Match Analysis
League
Eredivisie
Venue
Johan Cruijff Arena
Kickoff
February 21, 2026 • 19:59 UTC
Match Analysis
As we look ahead to this matchup, our assessment gives Ajax a 50% chance of winning. This prediction takes into account their recent form, the advantage of playing at home, and how both teams stack up against each other.
Key Factors Driving the Prediction
- Ajax boasts a solid home performance, recently defeating teams like Fortuna Sittard and FC Volendam.
- Meanwhile, NEC Nijmegen pulled off an impressive away victory against AZ Alkmaar, proving they can compete with top-tier opponents.
- Historically, NEC has shown competitiveness against Ajax, including a notable away win in their recent encounters.
- Ajax's recent form has been a mixed bag, suggesting they could be vulnerable in this match.
- Both teams come into the match without significant injuries, allowing them to field their strongest lineups.
Team Snapshots
Ajax
Ajax has experienced a rollercoaster ride lately, with two wins, two draws, and a loss out of their last five matches. This inconsistency makes them unpredictable.
Strengths:
- They possess strong attacking capabilities, frequently finding the back of the net in recent games.
- Their home record is solid, which often gives them a psychological edge.
Weaknesses:
- Inconsistency has plagued their results, highlighted by a disappointing home loss to Olympiakos Piraeus.
- The defense has shown lapses, as evidenced in draws against AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior.
Injuries/Availability:
No significant injuries reported, allowing Ajax to put forth their best team.
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen is riding a wave of good form, with three wins, a draw, and just one loss in their last five outings. This form suggests they are well-equipped to take on Ajax.
Strengths:
- They’ve shown recent strong performances, including a notable away win against AZ Alkmaar.
- The team has demonstrated the ability to score, as highlighted in their match against Heracles.
Weaknesses:
- Inconsistency has been an issue, particularly with a recent home loss to Utrecht.
- They may be vulnerable in away matches, despite their recent successes.
Injuries/Availability:
NEC Nijmegen is also fortunate to report no significant injuries, enabling them to field a competitive squad.
Risk & Uncertainty
The match carries a level of risk, as multiple factors could influence the game's outcome. It's important to approach this matchup with caution, as the unpredictability of football can lead to surprising results.
Frequently Asked Questions
How do you calculate the confidence in your predictions?
The confidence level is derived from evaluating team form, matchup context, and historical performance. It's essential to note that this isn’t a guarantee but rather an informed perspective based on the data available.
Is this wagering advice?
This analysis is intended for informational purposes and should not be construed as wagering advice. Always conduct your own research before placing any bets.







