Match Overview

AI prediction for Newcastle vs Benfica

AI Analysis Overview

Our model indicates a 32% confidence leaning toward Model Lean based on recent form and matchup context.

Analysis Summary

Newcastle is favored to win due to their strong home form and attacking prowess. However, Benfica's defensive resilience could pose challenges. A moderate on a home win is recommended, with alternative bets on goals and both teams scoring offering additional value.

Key Factors

• Newcastle's strong home form, winning 2 out of their last 3 home matches.
• Benfica's struggle to secure wins in away matches against strong opponents.
• The absence of significant injuries for both teams, allowing them to field their best line-ups.
• Newcastle's recent high-scoring games, indicating potent attacking capabilities.
• Benfica's solid defensive performances in recent matches, particularly against top-tier teams like FC Porto.

Team Snapshots

Newcastle

Newcastle has shown strong performances at home, with a recent convincing win against Nottingham Forest and a high-scoring victory over Bradford. However, they have struggled against stronger opponents like Arsenal.

• Strengths: Strong home performance; High-scoring ability
• Weaknesses: Inconsistency in maintaining leads; Vulnerability against top-tier teams
• Injuries/Availability: No significant injuries reported, allowing Newcastle to field their strongest squad.

Benfica

Benfica has been defensively solid, especially in their draw against FC Porto. However, their inability to score in crucial away games, such as against Chelsea, remains a concern.

• Strengths: Solid defensive structure; Ability to secure points away from home
• Weaknesses: Lack of goals in away matches; Inconsistency in converting draws into wins
• Injuries/Availability: No significant injuries reported, enabling Benfica to utilize their full squad potential.

Risk & Uncertainty

Model risk: Medium

• Benfica's ability to secure draws against strong teams
• Newcastle's inconsistency against top-tier opponents